Sunday, February 10, 2008

Obama's Charge Continues

Obama won Maine today meaning he won all five contests (quite handily) this weekend including Washington, Louisiana, Nebraska, and the Virgin Islands. Clinton seems to be taking a play from the Guiliani playbook and is counting on the March contests to get her back in the race while playing down expectations for all of the contests this month. We saw how well that worked for Guiliani, didn't we?

Whether or not Clinton does blunt some of Obama's momentum come March, it is not likely that either of them is going to pull significantly ahead in delegates. He leads now in pledged delegates. Counting superdelegates, however, gives her a slight advantage. I think it would be very damaging for the party if it comes down to the superdelegates and they end up giving the nomination to the person (whichever of the two) who did not get as many pledged delegates. They can, of course, do that, but that would be seen by most as very un-democratic and could be very problematic for the Democrats should it occur.

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